Open Model Project

The Model Went Down to Georgia

January 11, 2021

So how'd our prototype do in the twin Georgia Senate runoffs? 

Polling: bad. Forecast: not so bad. 

Hey, it's a process. It's also lots of fun. So join us as we vivisect the model and ponder how best to monkey with the assumptions, weights, and screens, as eye upcoming ballot brawls like the (possible) Newsom recall and the NYC mayoral primary. 

In the episode, we reference Northwestern data scientist Thomas Miller's supremely accurate Georgia forecast. You can follow Miller on Twitter at @virtualtout

Follow along with our interactive polls and forecasts at Follow us on Twitter at @OpenModelProj

If you'd like to see more independent forecasting and unbiased polling in your world, please consider supporting us on Patreon at

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